A major outcome of President Donald Trump's Beijing summit this week with Chinese President Xi Jinping had little to do with semiconductors or rare earths. According to the White House readout, Xi Jinping made clear China's opposition to any Iranian effort to militarize the Strait of Hormuz or charge a toll on its use. Beijing's own readout said nothing about Iran or the strait—and pointedly did not dispute the American account. That tacit acceptance exposed the so-called "axis" of China, Russia and Iran for what it actually is: a partnership of convenience that fractures the moment one partner's interests get in the way.
The natural question is, what comes next? If Beijing can be pried loose from Tehran, can it be pried loose from Moscow, too? The answer requires understanding something Western policymakers have been slow to internalize: Russia already fears China far more than it lets on.
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Joseph Epstein is Director of the Turan Research Center.